2026-pulls-ephemeral-network-layer-fingerprinting
findings extracted from this paper
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Ephemeral defenses were integrated with a WireGuard fork and deployed as Mullvad VPN's 'DAITA' (Defense Against AI-guided Traffic Analysis) opt-in feature across Android, iOS, macOS, Linux, and Windows for over one year, serving a growing number of thousands of daily users. Individual defenses are derived deterministically from seeds in 43.6 ± 4.7 ms on a commodity laptop, making per-connection unique defenses practical at VPN scale.
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Ephemeral blocking defenses reduce DF accuracy from 89.0% (undefended) to 10.2% and RF from 90.1% to 14.7% with standard 30-epoch training, at 97.5% bandwidth and 68.4% delay overhead; under infinite training, DF rises to only 29.2% and RF to 24.3%, still far below undefended baselines of 92.7% and 94.7%. Defenses are tunable at deployment time by adjusting Maybenot framework-wide limits, enabling overhead-vs-protection trade-offs without redeployment.
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The ephemeral property — using a unique seed-derived defense per connection — prevents attackers from training classifiers on the exact deployed defense variant. Stacked combinations with height H=5 from N=1,000 base defenses yield 6.88×10^25 unique defenses (polynomial growth O(N^{2H})). Attacks trained on ephemeral defenses also generalize significantly better across other randomized defense families than attacks trained on static defenses.
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Padding-only defenses that inject bursty traffic cause severe additional delay under realistic network bottlenecks: Break-Pad's delay overhead increases from 0% to 332.6% and FRONT's from 0% to 111.2% under a per-trace simulated PPS bottleneck. Even ephemeral padding defenses induce 43.9% delay overhead under bottleneck conditions, compared to 0% without a bottleneck, due to congestion from dummy packets.
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With infinite training time, Laserbeak achieves 93.5%, 95.9%, and 95.9% accuracy against ephemeral padding, FRONT, and Interspace respectively, compared to 96.5% undefended — confirming that padding-only defenses provide no meaningful protection against a sufficiently trained deep-learning WF adversary. Only ephemeral blocking defenses retain measurable protection, reducing Laserbeak to 71.8% accuracy under infinite training versus 96.5% undefended.