FINDING · EVALUATION
During the June 2025 Iran shutdown, circumvention tool performance diverged sharply by transport design. Psiphon's multi-protocol architecture sustained 1.5 million concurrent users—roughly one-third of its normal Iranian base. Lantern's "proxyless" protocol (domain-fronting via CDN, ~40% of Lantern's Iranian traffic) showed moderate success. Tor usage collapsed during the blackout but bridge connections surged and rebounded quickly after lifting. BeePass (serving 500k+ daily users at shutdown onset) used live A/B testing of port/obfuscation-prefix combinations to probe the censors' blocking parameters in real time. The Ceno Browser's P2P network grew from 600 active peers on June 13 to ~8,000 by July 11, indicating that decentralized fallback paths stayed up even during peak blocking.
From 2025-iran-shutdown-measurement — Characterizing Iran's Phased National Internet Shutdown in 2025: A Progressive and Distributed Action · §Tool Performance · 2026 · WWW '26 (Proceedings of the ACM Web Conference 2026)
Implications
- Single-protocol tools hit a cliff during shutdown; tools should maintain at least three independent transport fallbacks with automatic in-session switching.
- Live parameter scanning (BeePass approach: enumerate port × prefix combinations) is an effective way to find surviving configurations without requiring out-of-band coordination with users.
- P2P/decentralized fallback (Ceno model) is uniquely resilient to centralized blocking because there is no fixed server IP or port to target.
Tags
Extracted by claude-sonnet-4-6 — review before relying.