2026-wkrp-internet-pro-tiered
findings extracted from this paper
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IODA Active Probing shows Iran's global Internet connectivity dropped to approximately 3% on February 28, 2026, and had not recovered as of the report date (59+ days). This matches the near-3% floor seen during the January 2026 protests shutdown, establishing a repeatable operational baseline for the regime's tiered blocking posture.
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Iran officially unveiled 'Internet Pro' on April 14, 2026: a permanent tiered-access system granting selective unfiltered international connectivity to state actors and approved businesses at ~10x normal pricing (~$1–3/GB), while restricting the general population to the National Information Network (NIN). This institutionalizes what the regime frames as 'Internet Sovereignty,' converting international access from a general right to a government-granted privilege.
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IODA telescope and Google Product signals, corroborated by Cloudflare Radar and Kentik traffic data, show selective whitelist restoration: Google Search and Images are accessible via the NIN while Google Maps is not, and IranCell (AS44244) shows a slight diurnal Telescope traffic increase consistent with 'Internet Pro' access—demonstrating that selective per-service and per-ASN whitelisting is operationally active.
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The economic cost of Iran's ongoing Internet shutdown is estimated at 40 million USD per day (FactNameh), with the digital retail sector collapsing and approximately 10 million Iranians dependent on the digital economy losing access. VPN workarounds under 'Internet Pro' pricing are prohibitively expensive, rendering circumvention economically unviable for the general population.
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During the June 2025 Israel-Iran war, IODA observed that BGP routing announcements remained largely intact while Active Probing and Telescope signals showed a near-total Internet blackout—a 'stealth blackout' technique that hides shutdown actions behind maintained routing infrastructure. This pattern was replicated in the February 28, 2026 shutdown, where Active Probing dropped to ~3% while BGP remained stable.